从美国无人机的发展来看无人机在未来战争中的应用前景

从军事需求和技术推动出发,全面论述了美国无人机的发展情况,并对实战使用情况、新的无人机系列以及无人机在战争中应用的广泛前景作了分析。     

Experimental research on the instability propagation characteristics of liquid kerosene rotating detonation wave

In order to study the instability propagation characteristics of the liquid kerosene rotating detonation wave (RDW), a series of experimental tests were carried out on the rotating detonation combustor (RDC) with air-heater. The fuel and oxidizer are room-temperature liquid kerosene and preheated oxygen-enriched air, respectively. The experimental tests keep the equivalence ratio of 0.81 and the oxygen mass fraction of 35% unchanged, and the total mass flow rate is maintained at about 1000 g/s, changing the total temperature of the oxygen-enriched air from 620 K to 860 K. Three different types of instability were observed in the experiments: temporal and spatial instability, mode transition and re-initiation. The interaction between RDW and supply plenum may be the main reason for the fluctuations of detonation wave velocity and pressure peaks with time. Moreover, the inconsistent mixing of fuel and oxidizer at different circumferential positions is related to RDW oscillate spatially. The phenomenon of single-double-single wave transition is analyzed. During the transition, the initial RDW weakens until disappears, and the compression wave strengthens until it becomes a new RDW and propagates steadily. The increased deflagration between the detonation products and the fresh gas layer caused by excessively high temperature is one of the reasons for the RDC quenching and re-initiation.     

以网络为中心的指挥控制组织探索性分析

以计算组织理论以及探索性分析方法为基础,提出对以网络为中心的指挥控制(Command Control, C2)组织的探索性分析方法的进行效能优化的探索性建模和优化方法.通过对信息化战场指挥控制组织及其组织要素的建模,建立动态适应使命与环境变化的指挥控制组织模型;通过对指挥控制组织及其组织要素多类角色和多个维度的相互关系以及相应信息流、控制流的结构建模分析,建立并优化指挥控制组织及其组织要素之间的关于多种使命环境、组织属性的重叠网络模型.通过探索性分析方法,研究信息化战场网络指挥控制组织的动态重构的离散时态演化机制,并对指挥控制组织网络构成的有效性进行测度和优化.     

未来一体化联合作战条件下的综合信息系统

未来一体化联合作战中,综合信息系统是部队作战指挥的核心体系,是夺取战场制信息权和全面获取信息优势的基石;为应对未来一体化战争挑战,必须建设先进的综合信息系统.介绍了综合信息系统的基本概念和发展概况,阐明了一体化联合作战的本质是系统与系统的对抗,分析了牵引综合信息系统的七种能力,提出了构建综合信息系统要实现信息、功能、系统、平台、能力集成.     

A stochastic air combat logistics decision model for Blue versus Red opposition

Technologically advanced aircraft rely on robust and responsive logistics systems to ensure a high state of operational readiness. This paper fills a critical gap in the literature for combat models by closely relating effectiveness of the logistics system to determinants of success in combat. We present a stochastic diffusion model of an aerial battle between Blue and Red forces. The number of aircraft of Blue forces aloft and ready to be aloft on combat missions is limited by the maximum number of assigned aircraft, the reliability of aircraft subsystems, and the logistic system's ability to repair and replenish those subsystems. Our parsimonious model can illustrate important trade‐offs between logistics decision variables and operational success.     

地空导弹营战斗保障模糊评判模型

运用模糊数学的方法,结合地空导弹营的具体实际,给出了地空导弹营战斗保障能力的评价因素指标,建立了营战斗力的二级模型评判模型,并利用改进集值统计法确定了各因素的权重,给出了地空导弹营战斗保障能力的量化评判方法。     

要地防卫反无人机装备发展与启示

无人机技术的发展及其在现代战场的广泛应用，给机场、阵地、营地、指挥所等要地的防空体系带来新的挑战。以俄罗斯铠甲武器系统为首的弹炮结合末段防空系统代表了要地防卫装备的重要发展方向。本文从无人机技术发展对要地防空系统的新威胁出发，探讨传统防空武器系统在执行要地防卫过程中应对低、慢、小无人机目标可能存在的技术问题，并对比分析了监测控制类、直接摧毁类和干扰反制类等典型反无人机技术的特点，然后针对俄罗斯“铠甲”弹炮结合武器系统发展的过程、反无人机作战案例及其在要地防卫作战中的应用特点等进行深入探讨，最后针对要地防卫反无人机装备的发展提出若干建议。研究结果可为开展要地防卫反无人机装备的体系规划和发展论证提供参考。     

论"综合国防素质"的内涵

党的十九大报告提出要“加强全民国防教育”，“综合国防素质”的提出明确了国防教育的目标，具有重要的理论价值和现实意义。在“综合国防素质”研究综述的基础上，从国防知识、国防意识、国防理念、国防技能、国防创新能力、国防行为六方面全面把握“综合国防素质”的基本内涵，明晰“综合国防素质”的概念，推进综合国防素质问题的深入研究。     

Cyber-weapons in nuclear counter-proliferation

ABSTRACT

Under what conditions are cyber-weapons effective in nuclear counter-proliferation? With continued interest in nuclear proliferation professed by Iran, North Korea, and Saudi Arabia, a discussion of the effectiveness of counter-proliferation measures remains relevant. Cyber-attacks as military option in a state-on-state conflict still requires additional corroborating evidence to make conclusions about its long-term effectiveness. This work analyses the general applicability of cyber-weapons and their usefulness in nuclear counter-proliferation. Through a comparative case study of Operation Orchard, Stuxnet, and recent “Left-of-Launch” operations against North Korea, the essay finds that cyber-operations are not particularly effective against nuclear programmes that are in the later stages of their development. They can disrupt and delay a nuclear programme temporarily, if the attack remains clandestine, but cannot halt nuclear proliferation all together. However, effectiveness increases if they are used in combination with conventional weapons. The article addresses a topic of interest to national-level decision-makers: whether cyber-operations can and should play a role in nuclear counter-proliferation.     

边防毗邻省区跨域协同警务战略研究

在非传统安全威胁不断增多的情况下，公安边防部队维护边疆社会治安和政治大局稳定的职能作用更加凸现。针对公安边防部队点多、线长、面广的特点和毗邻省区结合部管理防范相对薄弱的实际，研究探索新形势下加强毗邻跨域警务协同、联手固边的工作机制，形成无缝链接——“全国边防一盘棋”的整体战略，全面提升公安边防部队战斗力，具有极其重要的现实意义。